CAPA rolls out new tool to project air capacity

CAPA launches data models for airlines to project future capacity growth

Market intelligence provider CAPA – Centre for Aviation has launched a series of interactive data models designed to project future air capacity in key markets across the world.

Supported by travel data provider OAG, the CAPA Airline Capacity Models provides a breakdown of each nation’s domestic and international outlook for seat capacity – as well as each city and route pair – based on 2019’s actual figures. It also takes into account government statements, airline network announcements and capacity projections.

CAPA launches data models for airlines to project future capacity growth

Using assumptions around six key phases: Zero/Grounded, Skeleton, Acutely Restricted, Basic, Restrained, and Standard, users can track the pace of recovery in their relevant market.

Derek Sadubin, managing director, CAPA – Centre for Aviation, said: “The impact of Covid-19 has damaged the efficacy of traditional methods of understanding the future size and scale of our industry.

“Frustrated by the lack of a model that takes into account border closures and other key assumptions around the pace of recovery of domestic and international passenger markets, we set out to build our own model with the support of OAG.”

CAPA has rolled out Airline Capacity Models in Australia, New Zealand and China, while models for the UK, France, Germany, the US, India, Japan, South Korea, and other countries will follow.

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